The current COVID-19 wave in Pune may peak by the end of January or the first week of February: Official | Pune News – Times of India

Pune: In Pune district Maharashtra A senior official said that the ongoing wave of Covid-19 cases may reach its peak by the last week of January or the first week of February, and hence the administration is taking all steps to augment the health infrastructure to deal with the situation. Used to be. on Wednesday.
Pune on Tuesday recorded 6,110 coronavirus cases with a positivity rate of 21 per cent, taking the district’s tally to 12,01,439, while the death toll reached 19,271.
Pune Divisional Commissioner Saurabh Rao said that as far as the number of infection cases is concerned, the district is currently witnessing an upward trend and officials are ensuring that all preventive and precautionary measures are being taken. Huh.
Asked about reports that indicate that the Covid-19 curve is flattening in Mumbai and Delhi, Rao said Pune is three weeks behind Mumbai in terms of the pace of infection.
“It is too early to say whether it has reached a plateau, but if we consider that it has reached a plateau, I expect that maybe the last week of January or the first week of February, we (Pune) will also be in the position. Where is Mumbai today,” he said.
Rao also said that if Mumbai is completely safe by the end of January or mid-February and the conditions there are normal, then by the end of February or March, a similar situation may be seen in Pune district.
“The situation may change as the climatic conditions, demographics and living style in Pune is different from Mumbai. But according to the experiences of the past waves, we can say that we will be in a better position by the middle of March.” They said.
Talking about the current situation, Rao said that the weekly positivity rate has increased in the last two to three weeks. “It has seen an increase from three per cent to 21 per cent. If we compare the last three to four days, the positivity rate has increased from 14-15 per cent to 21 per cent.”
Going by the trend in Mumbai, Kolkata or Delhi, it is most likely that Pune district will reach around 35 per cent positivity rate, he said, adding, “It may be slightly delayed, due to adherence to COVID-appropriate behavior (CAB). Is. ).”
“Although the positivity rate is above 20 per cent, what is to be expected is that the hospitalization rate is around six per cent, which was around 30 per cent during the second wave. However, we are not sure about how the virus is transmitted. Behave in the coming few weeks. So if the trend reverses, we are preparing ourselves to deal with any kind of scenario.”
He said there are three factors that can be attributed to the low hospitalization.
“Above all, omicron The variant is not leading to complications among patients. Secondly, the treatment protocol has improved and evolved and doctors have become more confident and third and more important factor is that the public at large has gained enough trust and the panic which was earlier is less now,” he said. Argued.
Rao said the next coronavirus review meeting would be held on Friday.
“I think in the present scenario, we are not going to impose any further restrictions with respect to economy and normal life, but we very sincerely request people to follow all COVID-appropriate behavior and work on immunity. Do it.” They said.
The official said that the death rate of Kovid-19 is very low right now and added that the most positive thing about the current wave is that the infection is going into the lungs and affecting them and it has reduced to the upper respiratory tract.
In the current scenario, both Omicron and delta The variants are affecting people, he said, adding that “according to the behavior of the virus, it is predicted that in the later part of the wave, Omicron will completely replace the delta and the mortality rate may go down.”
Rao said that several steps are being taken to improve the health infrastructure in Pune district.
“Covid care centers are being set up, hospital staff are being trained. We are in constant dialogue with doctors and other stakeholders,” he said.
He also said that in view of the past experience of shortage of medicines such as further black marketing of medicines. remdesivir and tosilizumab, efforts are being made to ensure that there are adequate stocks of all essential medicines, including molanupiravir,

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