Washington: A US health expert said that India will peak next month with the number of COVID-19 cases expected to report five lakh cases per day, however, “this time the severity of the variant will be less.” country in comparison.”
Christopher Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and chair of Health Metrics Sciences at the University of Washington, said, “You are entering the omicron wave, as are many countries around the world, and we expect That there will be more cases per day for the delta wave than you did in April of last year, but Omicron is much less severe.”
“So, while you will have many cases and probably set records for cases. This should be less than the impact on disease severity. We currently have models that we will release later, we expect to have about half a million The cases will peak, which should come during the next month,” he said.
As many experts in India say that there is hybrid immunity in the country due to which omicron would be less effective, Dr. Murray said, “from what we know from a place like South Africa, where there was a tremendous amount of prior infection in both delta and beta. Vaccination doses provide considerable protection for severe disease from hospitalization and death.” That’s why we think there will be many cases of omicrons in India, but very few deaths compared to hospitalizations and deaths.”
Speaking about the severity due to the number and variety of hospitalizations, he said, “We expect 85.2 percent of the infections to have no symptoms. They will be asymptomatic, but in cases, we still have a considerable number of them.” In terms of hospitalizations and deaths, the cases will be greatly reduced. So we expect you to have about a quarter for the peak delta wave of hospital admissions in India, and the deaths by you Must be less than observed. Delta.”
According to some experts, further spread of ohmron may lead to other mutations. Talking about it, Dr. Murray said, “The thing about mutations is that they are random. So, the more transmission there is, the more likely the mutation is to occur. But the setting of this rapid transmission of oomicrons is In the U.S., it’s going to be very difficult for a new version to meet Omicron in the next month or two because it’s so permeable.”
Dr Christopher Murray talks about the new variant with multiple mutations in France.
“Mutations happen all the time, and you can identify forms with multiple mutations, but what we look for is, you know, within 30 to 45 days after a new mutation appears. , Has it spread like Omicron, until now, that mutation has been around for a long time in France. And it hasn’t spread so we don’t currently know about that mutation.”
“Omicron is 90 to 95 percent, less severe, but there is still a class of individuals, especially older individuals who will become ill. Therefore, there will be an increase. This is a very small increase in hospitalizations,” he says. Huh. said.
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// console.log(event.target.nodeName);
//});
/*$( ".comment-button" ).live("click", disqusToggle);
function disqusToggle() {
var id = $(this).attr("id");
$("#disqus_thread1" + id).toggle();
};*/
//$(".main-rhs2426264").theiaStickySidebar();
var prev_content_height = $(content_selector).height();
//$(function() {
var layout = $(content_selector);
var st = 0;
///});
}
}
});
/*}
};*/
})(jQuery);
,