With the arrival of 2022, Indian politics is headed for another election season in the shadow of the pandemic. The parties are eagerly waiting for the announcement of the election schedule by the Election Commission of India, with some like the BJP mulling over it. virtual rallies If large gatherings are banned.
Election commission The U.S. has so far not given any indication that the elections may be postponed due to the advent of the Omron version, adding that all political parties in Uttar Pradesh want the elections to be as per schedule while ensuring COVID-19 protocols.
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Apart from the politically important UP, elections are due in the early months of the new year in four other states – Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur. Even in the states which will not go to polls this year, the parties are busy organizing their houses in the middle of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Here are 12 exclusive details from News18.com on how Indian politics might fare in 2022:
Narendra Modi will emphasize on political capital
2021 was Narendra Modi’s most challenging year as Prime Minister. The second Covid-19 wave hit India with all its momentum, BJP lost in a high-stakes battle in West Bengal, fuel prices put a hole in citizens’ pockets, five BJP chief ministers were replaced and Modi had to rollback a bold decision of his, the Agricultural Law.
As India steps into 2022 under the threat of a third wave, the scenario may not look so optimistic to some. But Modi clearly has a ‘Numero Uno’ at stake to meet the country’s challenges. For a leader for whom there is no political threat even after being in the chair for more than seven years, the opposition has little to challenge him in terms of an acceptable face or credible narrative. Two recent statements made by Home Minister Amit Shah have completely summed up the ‘Modi factor’ in the challenging times of recent times. read full story
BJP ready for 2024 semi-finals
In 2021, the BJP focused its energies on maintaining and gaining ground in the eastern part of India. Although it successfully retained Assam, the party emerged as a major challenger to the Mamata Banerjee regime in West Bengal. Moving towards the assembly elections in five states, it is clearly evident that the BJP is treating the Uttar Pradesh elections as the semi-finals of the 2024 general elections.
The significance of UP is that it has contributed to the BJP’s largest share of the Lok Sabha in the last two parliamentary elections – with 71 out of 80 seats in 2014 and 62 in 2019. read full story
Challenges in the way of Rahul Gandhi taking over the reins
The end of 2021 ends for the Congress much of how it began: confusion, leadership battles, deep infighting and electoral defeat. Going into 2022, only one thing is clear – while he may come across as the reluctant Congress president, it is Rahul Gandhi who calls the shots.
But as inevitable as taking the reins of the party into the hands of Rahul Gandhi, many of his recent statements have left the Congress confused. His Hindu Dharma Vs Hindutva story and blaming the PM for the incidents of lynching has left many in Congress uneasy. read full story
Punjab is Congress to lose
Despite Amarinder Singh’s rebellion, the Congress seemed to have a decisive edge in the battle for the state assembly. You were going through a period of infighting and abandonment. The Akali Dal continued to address the image crisis and the BJP was virtually eliminated after the saga of agricultural laws in the state.
The situation changed dramatically in late 2021, with the ruling Congress facing heat over incidents of sacrilege and lynchings in Amritsar and Kapurthala on top of a power struggle between Navjot Singh Sidhu and Charanjit Singh Channi. AAP has emerged as the single largest party in the Chandigarh civic polls.
The BJP has forged an alliance with Amarinder Singh’s new party. The FIR against former minister and Sukhbir Badal’s brother-in-law Bikram Singh Majithia in the drugs case has given the Akali Dal a “political vendetta” ahead of the elections. read full story
You-y New Years?
For the Aam Aadmi Party, 2022 promises to be a successful year when it can finally overcome the hump of being a ‘Delhi-centric’ regional organization and spread its wings to Punjab, Goa, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh and later in the year. could. Gujarat too. If it manages to do so, and it looks like AAP will achieve what no other regional party has been able to do so far.
The Chandigarh municipal election, in which AAP emerged as the single largest party, has added a spring to the move of the party cadre, with Arvind Kejriwal quickly moving ahead with a three-day tour of Punjab. Political observers say that Chandigarh is barely an indicator for Punjab, let alone for other states, but add that the Aam Aadmi Party is emerging as a formidable challenger in electoral states. read full story
BJP and SP on driver’s seat in UP
At the moment, Uttar Pradesh looks like a bipolar contest between the BJP and the Samajwadi Party, with the Congress a short distance away and the BSP almost missing out on action on the ground. Uttar Pradesh sends the most number of MPs to the Lok Sabha, and it is no surprise that the BJP has already billed the UP assembly elections as a pre-cursor to the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. In campaign speeches, Amit Shah even said that if people want Narendra Modi to return as PM in 2024, they will have to re-elect BJP in 2022 in Uttar Pradesh.
Akhilesh Yadav’s statewide visit has fueled enthusiasm in the Samajwadi Party and Priyanka Gandhi keeps Congress workers engaged from time to time. The BSP is focusing on the ‘Brahmin Sammelan’ to woo the upper caste voters, who helped Mayawati come to power in 2007, but there is hardly any noise on the ground. Will the SP get the benefit? read full story
jinx of the hills
Like every election season, there is a question for Uttarakhand in 2022 – will the hill state, for the first time since its formation in 2000, elect the party to power for the second time in a row? The BJP rides on the ‘double engine’ mantra – the same party is in power at the Center and the state – and is confident of breaking it despite changing CMs twice in a matter of months.
Former Chief Minister Harish Rawat has started consolidating power and position in the Congress camp. The party also managed to convert to BJP by bringing back cabinet minister and prominent Dalit leader Yashpal Arya and his MLA-son. The contest in Uttarakhand so far has been bipolar, with the Congress and the BJP in power alternately. But this time to shake the situation a little, Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party has entered the fray. read full story
Heartland Braces for UP Ripple
Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh may not have elections in 2022, but neither the BJP nor the Congress is resting in the heartland of India. Both are trying to keep their flock together amid challenges from within, for the impact of the UP elections, apart from protecting their respective strongholds.
In Madhya Pradesh, the BJP looks to consolidate while the Congress settles internal squabbles, which lost power despite winning the 2018 elections. Amid a clear challenge from Jyotiraditya Scindia working to change his royal image, Shivraj Singh Chouhan is looking to cement the position.
In neighboring Chhattisgarh, the Congress’s internal fighting problem is more serious as it is one of the few states where it remains in power. Speculation is rife that the TS Singh Deo camp is spending time till the UP elections and is planning to re-claim the chair of CM Bhupesh Baghel in the event of poor performance of the Congress. read full story
TMC to take ‘Khela Hobe’ playbook for spin
When the political history of 2021 is written, special emphasis will be placed on the battle of Bengal fought and won by the Trinamool Congress led by Mamata Banerjee. The electoral victory certainly made it a golden year for TMC and gave it a drama book to take to other states like Tripura and Goa.
In 2022, the Trinamool Congress is hoping to displace the Congress’s position in the opposition camp. It wants to take the Bengal trophy to every part of India and show that it is the “real Congress” with which others should form an alliance for the 2024 parliamentary elections.
From January, Mamata and her nephew Abhishek Banerjee will be seen traveling across India, ensuring good relations with NCP’s Sharad Pawar, Shiv Sena’s Uddhav Thackeray and other important regional players. His tussle with the Congress in the new year will be worth seeing. read full story
Catch-22 for Congress in Northeast
In 2021, the fortunes of the Congress in the Northeast shifted to the South. It forged an alliance with Badruddin Ajmal’s All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) and the Left and was left at the bottom of the table on the day of results. Its future is not bright in Meghalaya too, raising questions about its relevance in the Northeast.
Senior Congress leader P Chidambaram blamed the party’s decline in the Northeast on ideological issues. “The problem in the Northeast is that there is no lasting ideological commitment. Regional parties often change their ideology, which is unfortunate. If the Northeast is to progress rapidly, political parties must stick to a certain ideology.
For now, the region has Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress ready to jump into the rumor left behind by the Congress. read full story
BSY’s fight to stay relevant
Politicians are not known to retire, but 2021 will just go down in history. BS Yediyurappa, a politician with a huge mass base, decided to step down from the top post in Karnataka. It was not that the party’s southern satrap was not under pressure to step down, but Yeddyurappa made it clear that his departure was on his own terms.
Yediyurappa was replaced with Basavaraj Bommai, but with 18 months to go for the next assembly election, the BJP is looking for a young face to assume power. Yediyurappa was reportedly assured that his son and BJP state vice-president Vijayendra would be “taken care of”, but recent raids on the former chief minister’s aides indicate otherwise. The question remains in everyone’s mind that what degree of ‘retirement’ has BSY taken? read full story
BJP needs a new story in Telangana
After losing bail in 2018 and winning just one assembly seat, the BJP was marked as a party that had no future in Telangana. But it surprised everyone by winning four of the state’s 17 Lok Sabha seats in 2019. From there, the BJP revived its engine by winning the Dubbaka by-election in 2020, and followed it up with a stellar performance in the Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation elections, where it finished second by winning 48 wards.
Despite both the parties coming together for issue-based support, the saffron party is slowly but steadily creating the impression that it is the only challenger to the ruling TRS. The Congress, which on paper is the second largest party in Telangana, had won 19 seats in 2018 but is now left with only six MLAs due to defection and internal rifts. But experts say that to really gain electoral gains in the southern state, the BJP’s story has to go beyond identity politics as “KCR has done good for both Muslims and Hindus without compromising on his Hindu identity”. . read full story
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