ABP C-Voter Exit Poll 2022: As voting for the 2022 assembly elections in five states – Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur – ended on Monday, ABP News along with C-Voter conducted exit polls to gauge the mood of voters.
The exit poll results indicated that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) remained the dominant party in four of the five states where elections were held and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in Punjab.
In the states of Goa and Uttarakhand, a tough fight is anticipated between the BJP and the Congress. The BJP will return to power in the 403-member UP Assembly with a small margin, exit polls have shown.
Here are the highlights of ABP News – CVoter exit polls that began today:
1. According to the survey findings, the BJP is all set to return to power in the populous state of Uttar Pradesh, but with a loss of 89 seats after winning 325 seats in 2017. Akhilesh Yadav-led Samajwadi Party will also put up an impressive performance and is likely to get 140 seats, which is 92 more than the previous 48 seats.
2. Meanwhile, Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is projected to win only 17 seats, while the Congress will get six in Uttar Pradesh. Other exit polls including India Today-Axis My India, News24-Today’s Chanakya, CNN News18-Matrix, Times Now-VITO and Republic TV-CNX also predicted a thumping majority for the BJP in UP.
3. In a major setback to the Congress in Punjab, the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is said to win the state with 51 to 61 seats in the 117-member assembly. The ruling Congress is expected to get around 22-28 seats, while the Akali Dal is projected to get 20-26 seats.
4. Exit polls conducted by other news channels predicted a hung assembly in Punjab, the only electoral state where the Congress is in power, while giving a clear lead to the AAP. The Congress was mostly predicted to finish second in Punjab.
5. Reacting to the exit poll results, AAP leader Raghav Chadha said that it tells us that the people of Punjab have voted overwhelmingly for change. “People rejected traditional political parties. AAP is now a national and fastest growing political party. AAP is going to be the national and natural replacement of Congress,” he told news agency ANI.
6. In Uttarakhand, the Congress is very close to the majority mark and is projected to get around 32-38 seats in the 70-member assembly. The ruling BJP is projected to get 26-32 seats, while the AAP is likely to get 0-2 seats. Other parties are likely to get 3-7 seats in Uttarakhand, out of which BSP is likely to get 3.
7. Meanwhile, Goa is projected to have a hung assembly, with no party or block getting a majority. The ruling BJP is marginally ahead of the Congress with 13-17 seats in the 40-member assembly. The Congress alliance is in 12-16 seats. According to exit polls, Trinamool Congress is getting 5-9 seats while other parties are likely to get 0-2 seats in Goa.
8. Again there is no clear decision in Manipur. In the 60-member assembly, the BJP is the single largest party with 23-27 seats, followed by the Congress at 12-16 and the NPP at 10-14. At present the BJP is in power in four of the five states.
9. Other exit polls also predicted a major fall in the fortunes of the Mayawati-led BSP and a setback for the Congress, which had hoped to return to power in Punjab and states like Uttarakhand and Goa. However, the Congress rejected the exit poll results, saying it was not an “exact poll”.
10. The current survey findings and projections are based on ABP News C-Voter Exit Poll / Poll Post Poll personal interviews conducted among 18+ adults across the state on the day of polling and on the day of polling. The sample size was 1.04 lakh in Uttar Pradesh, 17,480 for Uttarakhand, 16,533 for Punjab, 5,502 for Goa and 5,269 for Manipur. Projection comes with a 95% confidence interval.