Diabetes Cases To Rise Globally To 1.3 Billion By 2050: Lancet Study

More than half a billion people worldwide live with diabetes, affecting men, women and children of all ages in every country and this number is expected to more than double to 1.3 billion in the next 30 years, in every country The problem of diabetes is being seen. According to a study published in The Lancet Journal, the increase.

The global findings come after a recent study by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) and published in The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology journal showed that 101 million people in India suffer from diabetes, while 136 million people have pre-diabetes. Are diabetic.

For the new study, the researchers used findings from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 to examine the prevalence, morbidity and mortality of diabetes in 204 countries and territories by age and gender between 1990 and 2021. Projected prevalence of diabetes by 2050.

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Calculations show that the current global prevalence rate is 6.1 percent, making diabetes one of the top 10 leading causes of death and disability. North Africa and the Middle East had the highest death rates at 9.3 percent, and that number is projected to rise to 16.8 percent by 2050. In Latin America and the Caribbean, this rate is projected to increase to 11.3 percent.

Diabetes was especially evident in people 65 years and older in every country, and worldwide prevalence rates of more than 20 percent were reported for that demographic. The highest rate was 24.4 percent for those aged 75 to 79.

The data showed that North Africa and the Middle East had the highest rates in this age group at 39.4 per cent, while Central Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia had the lowest rates at 19.8 per cent.

Almost all global cases (96 percent) are of type 2 diabetes. High body mass index (BMI) was the primary risk for type 2 diabetes – accounting for 52.2 percent of disability and mortality – followed by dietary exposure, environmental/occupational exposure, tobacco use, low physical activity and alcohol use .

Dr Lian Ong, lead author of the research, said, “The rapid rise in diabetes is not only worrying but also challenging for every health system in the world, especially given that this disease is associated with the risk of ischemic heart disease and stroke. How does it increase? Scientist at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington School of Medicine.

“While the general public may assume that type 2 diabetes is only associated with obesity, lack of exercise and poor diet, preventing and controlling diabetes is quite complex due to many factors.

“This includes one’s genetics, as well as logistical, social and financial constraints within the country’s structural system, especially in low- and middle-income countries,” Ong said.