UP Election 2022 Result Opinion Poll: CM Yogi Adityanath dominates in tough fight with SP chief Akhilesh Yadav

New Delhi: Zee News, one of the largest media houses in the country, has conducted an opinion poll to gauge the mood of voters in all the five electoral states – Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Goa and Manipur.

‘Janata Ka Mood’ – considered to be the biggest opinion poll ever – has garnered over 1.2 million responses from people across five states.

An opinion poll jointly conducted by Zee News in association with Design Boxed, a political campaign management company, indicates that the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to form the government in Uttar Pradesh for the second time in a row.

According to opinion poll results, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is likely to win with a clear majority in the 403-seat assembly.

Region Wise Vote Forecast in Uttar Pradesh:

Western Uttar Pradesh

In western Uttar Pradesh, a close contest can be seen between BJP and SP. While BJP+ can win 33-37 seats out of the total 71 seats, SP+ is also likely to get 33-37 seats. Whereas BSP can get 2-4 seats. However, Congress is unlikely to open its account in this area.

Central Uttar Pradesh

In Central Uttar Pradesh, around 47-49 seats can go to BJP+, while SP+ is likely to win 16-20 seats. BSP cannot open its account in this region and Congress is likely to win 1-2 seats.

Rohilkhand

In this region, BJP + is likely to get 19-21 seats and SP + 3-7 seats. BSP and Congress cannot get even a single seat.

Awadhi

BJP+ can get 76-82 seats in Awadh region. Whereas SP plus is likely to win 34-38 and Congress 1-3. Mayawati’s BSP cannot get a single seat.

Bundelkhand

BJP+ is expected to get majority in this area as well. While the saffron party can get 17-19 seats, the SP+ can get 0-1 seats. The account of BSP and Congress cannot be opened.

Purvanchal

In Purvanchal region, BJP+ is likely to get 53-59 seats and SP+ 39-45 seats. BSP is expected to get 2-5 seats and Congress 1-2 seats.

How many seats can BJP and SP win in total?

Opinion polls show that BJP+ is likely to get 245-267 seats and SP+ 125-148 seats.

Mayawati’s BSP may win somewhere between 5-9 seats and Congress is likely to settle with just 3-7 seats. Others may get 2-6 seats.

What can be the total vote share for BJP and SP?

The Yogi Adityanath government is heading towards its second term, securing 41% of the total vote share as compared to the Samajwadi Party’s 34%.

While the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is expected to get 10% of the total vote share, the Congress may get just 6 per cent, three per cent less than others.

Who is the most preferred CM candidate in Uttar Pradesh?

According to the Zee News opinion poll, Yogi Adityanath has emerged as the people’s first choice for the chief minister’s post in Uttar Pradesh. Adityanath is supported by 47% of the total respondents, while 35% want SP chief Akhilesh Yadav to be the chief minister.

9% have voted in favor of Mayawati and 5% want Priyanka Gandhi Vadra to be the next CM of UP.

Narendra Modi is still the most popular in Uttar Pradesh?

The Zee News opinion poll also found that 72% people still prefer Prime Minister Narendra Modi as the prime minister’s face, while 28% want Congress leader Rahul Gandhi to be the prime minister.

Highlights of Zee News’ opinion poll for Uttar Pradesh:

total seats

  • BJP+ 245-267
  • SP+ 125-148
  • GNP 5-9
  • Congress 3-7
  • other 2-6

Vote Share:

  • BJP+ 41
  • SP+ 34
  • GDP 10
  • Congress 06
  • other 09

People’s CM Preference:

  • Yogi Adityanath 47%
  • Akhilesh Yadav 35%
  • Mayawati 09%
  • Priyanka Gandhi Vadra 04%
  • other 05%

ALSO READ | Uttarakhand Opinion Poll 2022: BJP, Congress neck and neck; Harish Rawat most favorite CM face

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