Washington: India, under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is more likely than ever to respond to Pakistan’s perceived or actual provocation with military force, according to the US intelligence community’s annual threat assessment. The report states that the crisis between India and Pakistan is more serious because both are nuclear-armed countries. Although Pakistan has a long history of supporting anti-India terrorist groups, under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is more likely to respond to perceived or actual Pakistani provocations with military force than it has in the past. was, said the hazard assessment report.
“The crisis between India and Pakistan is of particular concern because of the risk of an escalating cycle between the two nuclear-armed states. New Delhi and Islamabad are likely to consolidate the existing calm in their relations following the renewal of the ceasefire by both sides.” inclined to do.” With the Line of Control in early 2021,” Annual Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community Report.
It further said, “Pakistan has a long history of supporting anti-India terrorist groups, and under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is more likely than in the past to respond to perceived or actual Pakistani provocations with military force.” Chances are.”
It added, “Perceptions on each side that heightened tensions increase the risk of conflict, violent unrest in Kashmir or terrorist attacks in India are potential flashpoints.” Interstate conflict, state instability, and other governance challenges present direct and indirect challenges to US interests and those of its allies and partners at home and abroad.
Rising tensions due to increased strategic competition present a number of consequences for the national security of the United States and partners. The increased military operations of countries in many geographies inadvertently risks the potential for escalation and the possibility of interstate conflict, the statement said.
The COVID-19 pandemic, along with Russia’s war in Ukraine, has increased poverty, hindered economic growth, and exacerbated inequality, fostering conditions conducive to domestic unrest, extremism, democratic retreat, and authoritarianism . The war in Ukraine has demonstrated that interstate conflict not only directly affects the parties involved, but can have far-reaching wide-ranging security, economic, and humanitarian impacts on a regional—and even global—scale.
The following are some of the potential conflicts between states that could spread with repercussions that may require immediate US attention, the Threat Assessment report said. This annual report on worldwide threats to the national security of the United States reflects the intelligence community’s collective insights, working to provide nuanced, independent, and clean intelligence to policy makers, war fighters, and domestic law enforcement personnel. committed to every day. Protecting American lives and America’s interests anywhere in the world.
This assessment focuses on the most direct, serious threats to the United States in the year ahead.