Third wave of coronavirus likely to hit India this month and peak by October
Researchers have said that the third wave of COVID-19 may hit India this month (August) and may peak in October. According to a Bloomberg report, researchers led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agarwal at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad and Kanpur respectively have said that the third wave of the novel coronavirus peaked with less than 1,00,000 infections a day. Might be possible. best position; Or about 1,50,000 cases a day in the worst case scenario.
Predictions on the COVID-19 third wave come from researchers who earlier this year accurately predicted the slowdown in the rise in COVID-19 cases, and the study is based on a mathematical model.
The third wave is likely to peak by October, the researchers were quoted as saying. Also in an email, Vidyasagar, a professor at IIT Hyderabad, said that states showing high COVID positivity rates (such as Kerala and Maharashtra at present), “may skew the picture.”
On the predictions of the third wave, the researchers have further stated that it is unlikely to be as brutal as the second wave.
In May, Vidyasagar had said that India’s coronavirus outbreak could peak in the coming days based on mathematical models.
“Our prediction is that the peak will come within a few days. As per current estimates, we should be registering 20,000 cases daily by the end of June. We will revise it as required,” Vidyasagar had said.
COVID-19 pandemic in India: Current status
Meanwhile, fresh COVID-19 cases in India registered a week-on-week increase for the first time in 12 weeks since the peak of the second wave in early May. At present, however, the surge is mainly confined to Kerala and to a lesser degree, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. Overall, India recorded over 2.86 lakh new cases in the current week (July 26-August 1), up 7.5 per cent as compared to 2.66 lakh in the previous week.
Weekly cases in the country registered an increase for the first time since May 3-9, when the second wave peaked. The decline in cases continued till last week, though the decline slowed to 1.4 per cent.
According to health ministry data updated on Monday, India recorded 40,134 fresh COVID-19 infections, taking its virus tally to 3,16,95,958, while the number of active cases rose for the sixth consecutive day. was recorded.
The death toll from the pandemic rose to 4,24,773 with 422 daily fatalities.
The number of active coronavirus cases has risen to 4,13,718 and comprise 1.31 per cent of the total infections, while the national COVID-19 recovery rate was recorded at 97.35 per cent, updated at 8 am.
The active COVID-19 caseload has registered an increase of 2,766 cases in a 24-hour period.
Second wave of COVID-19 in India
By February 2021, the daily cases of COVID-19 in India had fallen to 9,000. However, in early April 2021, a major second wave of infections took hold in the country. On 9 April, India crossed 1 million active cases and as of 12 April, India overtook Brazil to have the second highest number of COVID-19 cases worldwide.
By the end of April, India had 2.5 million active cases and an average of 300,000 new cases and 2,000 deaths per day. On 30 April, India reported over 4,00,000 new cases of coronavirus and over 3,500 deaths in a day.
By the end of May, the number of new cases had started to decline steadily. On May 25, the country reported 195,994 new cases – the lowest daily increase since April 13.
However, the death rate remains high and till May 24, India recorded over 3,00,000 deaths due to COVID-19.
In May 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) announced that the two types of coronavirus would be called ‘delta’ and ‘kappa’.
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