AB CVoter Opinion Poll: With five states going to polls in the early months of next year, ABP News is tracking the developments and sentiments of voters. Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa are the states where assembly elections will be held in the early months of 2022.
According to the survey, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) remains the favorite to win assembly elections in populous states including Uttar Pradesh, Goa and Manipur, while the Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) are likely to enter Uttarakhand in a big way. Is. Punjab.
The snap poll of five states was conducted on 690 seats with a sample size of 1,07,193 with a margin of error of +/- 3% to +/- 5%.
Here is the overall view of ABP CVoter Opinion Poll for the month of November 2021:
Uttar Pradesh
With Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath-led BJP government still the favorite to win the 2022 assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh, Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party (SP) is gathering steam and slashing vote share and seats in the upcoming elections.
Snap polls showed that in the 403-member Uttar Pradesh Assembly, the BJP and its alliance partners are projected to get 213-221 seats, down from 325 in the 2017 elections to 100.
Meanwhile, the SP is growing rapidly in popularity and is now expected to get around 152 to 160 seats. Now there is a clear contest between BJP and SP in UP and there is a difference of only 60 seats between the two.
Punjab
Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to emerge as the single largest party amid the ongoing political crisis in Punjab and farmers’ protests over the three agriculture laws.
The AAP is likely to emerge as the single largest party with 47-53 seats in the 117-member Punjab Assembly, followed by the ruling Congress (42-50 seats) and the Shiromani Akali Dal (16-24 seats).
Meanwhile, the BJP in Punjab is staring at its worst performance in recent decades in Punjab, which may be due to farmers’ resentment over the new laws and the loss of the alliance with the SAD.
The ABP-CVoter poll says the saffron party is likely to win 0-1 seats.
Uttarakhand
In Uttarakhand, the BJP is still leading the race with a forecast of 36-40 seats in the upcoming assembly elections, even with three different chief ministers taking charge in less than a year A big change was seen in this.
It is the Congress that is giving a tough fight to the ruling party with a gain of over 20 seats, touching the 30-34 seat mark in the 70-member assembly.
According to the survey, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which will make its electoral debut in the hill state, is expected to win just 0-2 seats, while others are projected to get just 0-1.
Goa
The ruling BJP in Goa is most likely to retain the government with an indication of 19-23 seats in the 40-member assembly, followed by others in 8-12 seats, AAP in 3-7 seats and Congress with only 2-6 seats. Is.
The Congress had won 17 seats in the 2017 assembly elections in Goa, while Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP failed to open its account.
In terms of vote percentage, BJP is likely to bag 37.5 per cent vote share, AAP 23.6 per cent and Congress 18.6 per cent.
Manipur
In Manipur, BJP is moving towards a satisfactory victory in the assembly elections. According to the survey, BJP is likely to get 25-29 seats, Congress 20-24, Naga People’s Front (NPF) 4-8 and others 3-7 in the 60-member Manipur Assembly.
In terms of vote share, BJP is projected to get 38.7 per cent votes, an increase of 2.4 per cent over 2017, while Congress will also see its vote share decline from 35.1 per cent in 2017 to 33.1 per cent. in the 2022 election.
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