New Delhi: Brickwork Ratings said India’s FY12 GDP is expected to grow at 10-10.5 per cent year-on-year.
According to the rating agency, Q2FY22 GDP is expected to grow by 8.3 per cent year-on-year, driven by a steady recovery due to a sharp recovery in economic activity as well as a decline in new Covid cases. Development prospects.
“While most states have already eased restrictions on economic activity, with progress made in immunizing a large proportion of the population, economic activity is likely to pick up,” the agency said in a statement.
“The pandemic toll on the economy has been enormous, and it may take some more time for the contact-intensive sectors and supply disruptions to fully recover. The economy is slowly and gradually returning to normalcy, and this This is evident from the recent revival in production activities and consumption demand,” it added.
The agency said the resilience to cope with restrictions imposed due to the second wave of the pandemic is evident in contact-intensive sectors such as business, hotels and transport.
“While the second wave has adversely affected the construction sector, the disruption in the sector is much lesser than last year. After witnessing a gradual decline in Q1FY22, reflecting slowdown in demand due to the lockdown, industrial activities took a hit recently. has shown significant growth,” it said.
Amid the possibility of a third Covid wave, the agency expects the economy to register better growth in the remaining part of the year.
“The downside risks of a potential third wave to growth are also limited by advances in vaccination. Most importantly, arising from rising international prices of crude oil, mineral products, ever-increasing costs of raw materials and freight rates. Downside risks, disruption in semi-conductor supply and lack of coal supply, are likely to slow growth momentum, Brickwork Ratings said.
Further, the agency cited that while being cautious in raising its expenditure, the government is also confident of being able to contain the fiscal deficit at the budget level, aided by procurement revenue.
“There has been an increase in capital expenditure in recent months, which will pave the way for accelerating growth. The demand situation is likely to improve further due to the moderation in demand during the festive season, leading to better efficiencies during the third and fourth quarters. The way of use will be paved,” it said.
live TV
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