Imran’s government fell, this is political upheaval for the world of Pakistan

Washington/Islamabad: After three years and seven months in power, Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan was removed from office in a no-confidence motion in Parliament early on Sunday. A new government, led by opposition leader Shahbaz Sharif, is most likely to be formed after parliament reconvened on Monday (April 11) to vote for a new prime minister.

The nation of over 220 million people lies between Afghanistan to the west, China to the northeast and India to the east, making it of vital strategic importance.

Since coming to power in 2018, Khan’s rhetoric has become more anti-American, and he expressed his desire to move closer to China and more recently Russia – including in talks with President Vladimir Putin on February 24, during which The day was attacked. Ukraine started.

At the same time, US and Asian foreign policy experts said Pakistan’s powerful military has traditionally controlled foreign and defense policy, but Khan’s acrimonious public rhetoric affected several important relationships.

Here’s what the impending turmoil in the form of economy means for the countries involved in Pakistan:

India

The nuclear-armed neighbors have fought three wars since independence in 1947, two of them over the disputed Muslim-majority region of Kashmir. Like Afghanistan, it is Pakistan’s military that controls policy in the sensitive region, and tensions on the de facto border are at their lowest level since 2021, thanks to a ceasefire.

But there have been no formal diplomatic talks between rivals over the years due to deep mistrust on a number of issues, including excessive criticism of Khan. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi To deal with attacks on minority Muslims in India.

Karan Thapar, an Indian political commentator who follows India-Pakistan relations closely, said the Pakistani military could pressure the new government in Islamabad to build a successful ceasefire in Kashmir.

Pakistan’s mighty army chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa recently said that his country is ready to move forward on Kashmir if India agrees. The Sharif dynasty has been at the forefront of several malicious attempts towards India over the years.

Afghanistan

Relations between Pakistan’s military intelligence agency and the Islamist militant Taliban have loosened in recent years.
Now that the Taliban is back in power in Afghanistan, and facing economic and humanitarian crises due to lack of money and international isolation, Qatar is arguably their most important foreign partner.

Lisa Curtis, director of the Indo-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security Think, said, “We (the United States) do not need Pakistan as a conduit for the Taliban. Qatar will certainly play that role now.” Used to be.” tank

Tensions have risen between the Taliban and Pakistan’s military, which have lost several soldiers in attacks close to their mutual border. Pakistan wants the Taliban to do more to crack down on extremist groups and is concerned they will spread violence in Pakistan. This has already started happening.

Khan was less critical of the Taliban on human rights than most foreign leaders.

China

Khan consistently emphasized the positive role of China in Pakistan and the world at large. Also, the $60 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) that binds the neighbors together was actually conceptualized and launched under two of Pakistan’s established political parties, both of which would share power in the new government. are ready.

Sharif’s potential successor, younger brother of three-time former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, made deals with China directly as leader of the eastern province of Punjab, and his reputation for getting major infrastructure projects off the ground while avoiding political grandeur has really may be in. Music in Beijing’s ears.

United States of america

Experts from America-based South Asia said that Pakistan’s political crisis unlikely That should be a priority for President Joe Biden, who is battling a war in Ukraine, unless it causes widespread unrest or escalating tensions with India.

“We have a lot of other fish to fry,” said Robin Raphael, former assistant secretary of state for South Asia, a senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies think-tank.

According to some analysts, the change of government was not a major concern, with the Pakistani military retaining proxies over foreign and security policies.

“Since it is the military that takes shots at the policies the US really cares about, namely Afghanistan, India and nuclear weapons, internal Pakistani political developments are largely irrelevant to the US,” Curtis said. Senior Director of President Donald Trump’s National Security Council for South Asia.

He said Khan’s visit to Moscow has been a “disaster” for US relations and that a new government in Islamabad could help improve relations “at least to some extent”.
Khan has blamed the United States for the current political crisis and said Washington wanted him removed because of his recent visit to Moscow. Washington denies any role.

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