New Delhi: PM Narendra Modi will interact with the Chief Ministers of Assam, Nagaland, Tripura, Sikkim, Manipur, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh and Mizoram via video conferencing tomorrow at 11 am. He will talk to the Chief Ministers about the situation of COVID-19 in these states, news agency ANI reported.
This comes as fresh concerns about the COVID-19 pandemic are raising their heads again in the form of the R-factor, which indicates the speed at which infections are spreading in the country, recently. Recently there has been a slow increase in the decline of active. case
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A recent analysis by researchers from the Institute of Mathematical Sciences in Chennai showed that despite the low number of new cases across the country, Kerala and the northeastern states have emerged as areas of concern.
The R-factor has risen slightly to 0.88 at the end of June, having been at its lowest price of 0.78 from mid-May to the end of last month.
Sitabhara Sinha, who led the team of researchers, said the ‘R’ for India is still below one, so the number of active cases is decreasing at a very slow rate. The same trend of moderation in the rate of decline in active cases is also being seen in many states.
Sinha said, “Kerala showed a brief spike in cases and its R1 is hovering close to 1. The Northeast region is a matter of great concern. Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh and possibly Tripura are showing an increase in the number of cases.”
In Kerala, the R-value is estimated to be around 1.10. Among the northeastern states, the R for Manipur is 1.07, Meghalaya 0.92, Tripura 1.15, Mizoram 0.86, Arunachal Pradesh 1.14, Sikkim 0.88, Assam 0.86.
Rising COVID-19 cases in Kerala as well as the recent outbreak of Zika virus are a cause of concern for health officials while trying to bring down daily new infections.
“India’s R has slightly increased to 0.88 since the end of June after being at a low of 0.78 (since the pandemic began in March last year) from mid-May to the end of last month,” Sinha said.
This means that on average every 100 infected people pass on the infection to 88 other persons. If R is less than 1, it means that the number of newly infected people is less than the number of people infected in the preceding period, which means the incidence of the disease is decreasing, the lead researcher explained.
“The smaller the value of R, the faster the disease is declining. Conversely, if R is greater than 1, the number of people infected with each round is increasing – technically, this is what we call the epidemic phase. The larger the number than 1, the faster the rate of spread of the disease in the population,” Sinha said.
Earlier this month, Manindra Agarwal, a scientist on a government panel tasked with modeling of COVID-19 cases, shared an estimate that there could be a third wave of coronavirus between October-November if COVID appropriate practices are not followed. peak, but countries could see half of the daily cases recorded during the second surge.
Aggarwal also cautioned that the third wave could spread faster if a new toxic variant emerges.
(with inputs from agencies)
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