251 thousand ‘additional deaths’ in Bihar since March 2020, 48.6 times the official toll

Since the pandemic began in March 2020, Bihar has recorded at least 2,51,000 additional deaths under the Civil Registration System (CRS). The number is 48.6 times the official number confirmed coronavirus Deaths in the state- 5,163 in the same period.

The figures for Bihar were obtained by Hindustan TimesThe current figure, based on deaths recorded in the state’s civil registration system between January 2015 and May 2021, is one of the largest deviations in the high mortality rate seen so far of any state in the country.

What is ‘extra death’?

Extreme mortality or mortality rate is a generalized term that refers to the total number of deaths from all causes during a crisis situation. This number is higher and higher than would be expected under regular conditions. While not all such high deaths were due to COVID-19, such large divergences in deaths during a pandemic are likely to be caused either directly or indirectly by the outbreak or because of the overburdened healthcare system.

Reportedly, CRS data from the pre-pandemic period (January 2015 to February 2020) have been averaged to establish an all-cause death baseline, which is then compared with the deaths registered since March 2020, resulting in “number of”. More deaths”.

Such data has rightly impacted the pandemic on human life.

Bihar reported 2,51,053 more deaths since the start of the outbreak, compared to the corresponding four-year period before the pandemic (2015-2019). The state’s official Covid-19 death toll as of the end of May stood at 5,163. This means that the official COVID-19 death toll was 48.6 times lower than the CRS data showed.

In the first five months of 2021, there were over 1,26,000 such additional deaths against 3,766 reported Covid-19 deaths in the same period – resulting in an undercount factor of 33.7 this year.

The CRS is a national system of recording all births and deaths, and during the COVID-19 outbreak, such data computed from the CRS is being used to calculate the number of deaths that the pandemic would ever have. Would not have happened.

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